PropPassCheck

Strategy styles · Grid and martingale

Can a grid or martingale strategy pass FTMO?

Only by luck. On FTMO 2-Step Challenge, our sample grid trader passed 33% of attempts and went on to a first payout in 29%. That ranks FTMO 15th of 46 firms with a challenge for this style; the middle challenge across all firms is 31%. This sample has no edge at all, so every pass here is luck: read it as how much room FTMO's rules leave for luck, not as a reason to trade this way.

33%Pass chance, best account
29%Pass and get paid
0.75%Best risk per trade
134Trading days to pass, typical
15th of 46Firms, this style

FTMO accounts with a grid or martingale strategy

AccountTypePass chancePass and get paidBest risk a tradeDaysMost common way it failedTargetDaily lossMax loss
2-Step Challenge2-step33%29%0.75%134Hit the maximum loss10% / 5%5%10% static
1-Step Challenge1-step30%21%0.75%56Hit the daily loss limit10%3%10% trailing
Instant AccountInstant fundingNo challenge79%0.38%16No payout within 120 daysNone3%10% trailing

"Pass and get paid" is the share of attempts that passed every phase and then reached a first payout without breaking a rule. Days are trading days. Rules checked 8 Nov 2026; full rules on the FTMO page.

FTMO's rules are about average for this style. When the sample failed on FTMO 2-Step Challenge, it was most often because it hit the maximum loss.

The sample grid trader

Our sample closes 90.9% of its baskets for a win of 0.3 times the risk unit, loses 3 times the risk unit on the rest, and takes about two baskets of trades a day: no profit on average, because the wins and the losses cancel out. Nine baskets in ten close for a small win, and the tenth loses ten times that. We gave this sample no edge at all, because changing the size of your trades cannot create an edge that the entries do not have. More on the sample and how it does across all firms.

FTMO rules to watch with a grid or martingale strategy

We have not recorded FTMO's rules on open losses yet, and they are not in the pass figures above. Check FTMO's own rules before you buy.

Any pass is luck
With no edge, passing means the run of small wins reached the target before the big loss arrived. Trade it for long enough and the losses catch up, which shows in how many attempts pass but never reach a payout.
Open-loss rules and bans
Many firms ban grid and martingale trading outright or limit the loss on open trades. Our runs do not test this, and the loss while a basket is still open is deeper than the closed result we count.
The real thing is worse than the sample
Our sample loses a fixed amount when a basket fails. A real grid without a hard stop has no fixed amount: one trending day can take the account.
Why instant accounts look good here
An instant account needs only a small profit to pay out, and a grid produces small profits quickly. That is why firms that offer instant accounts tend to have the strictest open-loss rules.

Other styles at FTMO

StyleBest accountPass chancePass and get paid
Breakout1-Step Challenge66%56%
Trend following1-Step Challenge76%65%
Mean reversion2-Step Challenge69%65%
Scalping1-Step Challenge57%44%
Swing trading2-Step Challenge88%85%
Opening range breakout1-Step Challenge80%75%
Day trading1-Step Challenge54%39%
High win rate2-Step Challenge86%83%
Low win rate1-Step Challenge62%44%
Position trading1-Step Challenge87%67%
Grid and martingale (this one)2-Step Challenge33%29%

How this was worked out

Each style is a made-up sample trader, not a real track record. We set the figures so that every sample makes the same average profit: 0.1 times its risk per trading day, about 2R a month. They differ only in shape: how often they win, how big the winners are and how many trades they take. That way a difference between two styles comes from how the rules treat the shape, not from one sample simply being better. The exception is the grid and martingale sample, which has no edge at all: adding to losing trades changes the shape of the results but cannot create an edge.

Each sample was run 1,000 times against each account's published rules, at nine trade sizes from 0.13% to 1% of the account, and we show the size that did best. It is the same engine as the test centre. How the simulation works.

What this leaves out. Every sample but that one has a real edge and never breaks its own rules, which is why these figures are far higher than the share of real traders who pass. There are no spreads, commissions, swaps or slippage. Every winner and loser is the same size. And it only tests the rules in the table: profit targets, loss limits, trading days, time limits, consistency and payout terms, not rules on news, weekends or hold times. A strategy with no edge fails everywhere, whatever its style.

Questions

Can a grid or martingale strategy pass FTMO?

Only by luck. On FTMO 2-Step Challenge, our sample grid trader passed 33% of attempts and went on to a first payout in 29%. That ranks FTMO 15th of 46 firms with a challenge for this style; the middle challenge across all firms is 31%. This sample has no edge at all, so every pass is luck.

Test your own trades

These are samples. Your strategy has its own win rate, its own losing runs and its own costs. Upload a backtest or trade history and PropPassCheck replays it 2,000 times against each FTMO account and every other firm, and shows your own chance of passing and of a first payout. It runs in your browser; nothing is uploaded.

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